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Page last updated Friday, 20 November 2009
Investors and Advisers Agree - the Market is headed down.
The September monthly survey of Investment Sentiment conducted by the Australian Investors' Association and Adviser Ratings shows that both investors and financial advisers have become more bearish since the August survey, BUT Advisers remain much more optimistic than investors.
The Investors sentiment index shows a16% fall in Bulls and a significant increase in Neutral sentiment, i.e. believe the market will stay about the same in the next six months. The Adviser sentiment index shows a significant increase in Bears but from a very low base.
Once again the most notable feature when comparing Investor Sentiment to Adviser Sentiment is that Advisers are so much more Bullish than investors. (47.1% to 25.2%).
There could be a number of reasons for this and it begs the questions:
The surveys were conducted between 30th August and 3rd September.
Followin are Charts including Asset Allocation
The Sentiment Surveys will be conducted every month
For more information regarding Adviser Ratings or the Australian Investors'
Association,
CONTACT
Bob Andrew |
David Child AIA Director and CEO Adviser Ratings |
| Email: randrew@bigpond.net.au Phone: 07 3892 5529 |
Email: dachild@fuzion.com.au Phone: 07 3374.1175 Mobile: 0407 035 823 |
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Investors are displaying significantly greater caution regarding the share market than financial advisers. |
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Investors caution regarding the share market does not at first sight appear to be reflected in their preferred portfolio, however there is a considerable difference in allocation to international equities. |
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The most significant movement has been in the number of investors taking a neutral position. The increase in the neutral position has come almost equally from Bulls and Bears. |
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Advisers, on the other hand, have become more bearish. Neutral position Advisers have not changed but Bulls have retreated and Bears increased. However Advisers remain far more Bullish than investors. We restate our comments regarding this factor made in the August Report. |
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Interestingly changes in both Investor and Adviser Sentiment
regarding the Australian Share market is not causing either group
to make any major changes in their Asset Allocations. |
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